Tag: bitcoiners

  • The Quiet Death of the Nordic Bitcoin Treasury Companies

    The Quiet Death of the Nordic Bitcoin Treasury Companies

    When madness and hubris overtook the Bitcoiners and financial markets alike in the summer of 2025, a few strange things happened. 

    First, shares in bitcoin treasury companies (themselves just a pot of financialized bitcoin) started trading way above the value of the coins they represented.

     

    Second, the financial market equivalent of “the universe abhors a vacuum” rushed in, launching literally hundreds of these companies onto stock markets all over the world.

    Third, in trying to differentiate and maintain their specific value niche, they all tried to raise funds, print shares, and structure convertible debts or other liabilities in order to take advantage of the generational bitcoin bull run. 

    Alas, we know how this story ended.


    When the product you’re selling is overvalued shares, and plunging new investor proceeds from ever-larger securities issuance into ever more bitcoin, two things set an abrupt end to that glorious, orange suitcoiner party:


    a) overvalued shares no longer appeal to investors, and
    b) bitcoin’s price falling.


    It didn’t take long before there was no more financialized equity to extract.
     

    The leading source of bitcoin company balance sheet holdings, BitcoinTreasuries.net, still lists 13 Nordic companies owning bitcoin. 

    We took a closer look and provide a brief overview of the seven most astonishing stories of financial hubris: 


    1. H100 is the largest, most active and well-covered Nordic treasury company. Through acquisitions and changes in leadership recently, it’s been pretty good at garnering attention with its core audience and so we have a fairly good idea of what they’re up to. 

    Bitcointreasuries.net states it holds ₿1,051 (corroborated by its public financial reports), basically unchanged since the treasury company flywheel stopped working in September 2025. Since buying pretty aggressively during the summer (at a blended price of about $115,000), the company has carried massive bitcoin-related losses, having toyed with convertible debts and overplayed its hand.

    After a few acquisitions and changes, H100 is currently trying to merge with Geir Harald Hansen’s company Moonshot (and Never Say Die AS), which should bring the total bitcoin treasure to around ₿3,500. 

    This is achieved via heavy share printing and, in this case, a new, majority owner. The stock is trading today roughly where it was when H100 reverse-merged into Healthy to 100 AS and began its bitcoin journey on public markets; and it’s down about 93% from its June 2025 peak.  

    Per the annual report, by year-end, the company had a 75mSEK convertible loan and about 30mSEK in cash, with no other lien on the bitcoin stash, so there is some financial acrobatics in the firm’s future. (For reference, its bitcoin is now worth about 600mSEK.) Of course, the accounting losses from the past year were roughly half that, which is to be expected if you aggressively buy the peak, and then ride it all the way down. 


    2. Fragbite is a formerly successful gaming company, listed in Stockholm and still with an ongoing operating business in online gaming, acquired its first few bitcoin at $113,000 last summer. Thereafter, it fully YOLO’d into a bitcoin strategy rather late, but still managed to hit the peak at around $120,000.

    The CEO has since resigned, the company holds ₿31.25 (per its Q1, 2026 report, acquired at $114,642) and began doing bitcoin options trading a few months ago. 


    Curiously, the “options trading” operations involve MSTR, Strategy’s common stock, not actual bitcoin or actual bitcoin options.

    (Since it’s for short-term trading and the company hasn’t reported Q2 yet, we can’t know exactly, but per March 31, its balance sheet showed “financial assets” to the tune of about 60% of its bitcoin holdings, so the trading is quite substantial.) 

    Interestingly, Fragbite is not printing shares to pursue its bitcoin strategy. 


    3. B Treasury Capital is a “pure-play” bitcoin company, proudly boasting of a “net sales: 0” post in its financial reporting. Five dudes and a pot of publicly listed bitcoin combined with some liabilities (including a BTC-backed custodian loan and a BTC-denominated convertible debt).

    Refreshingly, it’s one of the few treasury companies that has regularly purchased bitcoin during the spring. It has just closed its preferred share (heavily undersubscribed) for the Swedish market. At year-end, the cost basis for its then ₿166.8 holding was, symbolically, right above the 1-million Swedish Krona (SEK) mark. 

    Since it was listed in July 2025, its shares are down 80%.



    4. Bitcoin Holding Sweden, AB, is a mostly invisible latecomer to the treasury space, having only acquired a small amount (₿2.53) before it suddenly stopped in late November. It markets itself as “Sweden’s upcoming public Bitcoin Treasury company,” suggesting that the company has a future, but alas nothing has been heard from it or its CEO for months.

    Like B Treasury Capital, it ran out of funds before the flywheel got started, having a cost basis above 1-million SEK (now worth only about half that). 


    5. Refine Group is an e-commerce platform that jumped on the bitcoin treasury bandwagon in July last year.

    Having acquired the lordly sum of ₿7, the company threw in the towel in March this year, realizing a loss of about 25%. (The day of the announcement, the share price doubled.)

    Now renamed to Vetted Assets, the company made a wall-art acquisition, has almost doubled revenue, and is trading at about 10x where it was when it launched its bitcoin treasury strategy. 



    6. K33 is a Norwegian-listed crypto research firm, with institutional operations and an excellent industry newsletter (“Ahead of the Curve”).

    Bitcointreasuries.net states K33’s holdings to ₿168, mostly unchanged since the beginning of the strategy apart from a few acquisition transactions during the year that have increased their indirect exposure. From looking over K33’s public investor reports, this is either false or misleading. Per the company’s Q1 quarterly report, K33 holds about 95 bitcoin on its balance sheet plus some “bitcoin exposure” via shares acquired in another company (which, in turn, also only seems to have “exposure,” no real stacking or bitcoin treasury strategy involved). 


    The share is down 75% from its June 2025 peak, and about 40% below where it was when it launched its bitcoin treasury strategy.  


    7. Goobit Group is the holding company behind BTCX, Sweden’s oldest bitcoin exchange. If you’ve been around European conferences in recent years, you may have seen them driving a large, pink, BTC-branded Tesla. 


    Despite not lacking profitability as an exchange, BTCX still hurled itself into a “long-term Bitcoin Treasury strategy, aiming to maximize the company’s bitcoin holdings.” 

    Announced in early August 2025, it ran the typical dilution-as-a-service strategy of issuing shares and buying bitcoin… at the top, only to thereafter go quiet amid plenty of capital destruction.

    The company ostensibly still has the same ₿10.63 it acquired that one time at around $116,000 (plus another coin a few weeks later, bringing the total to 11.7 from Sept 1, 2025). The bitcoin the company acquired last year for long-term holding has now, predictably, been merged into the general business accounts: 

    “in order to strengthen the liquidity. Due to this decision, these 11.35 BTC were restated and moved from intangible fixed assets to inventory.”



    Its diluted shares are down 82% from its local treasury-boost peak.


    Incidentally, BTCX just today received a negative result on its MiCA license from the Swedish financial regulator.  


    The fanfare that accompanied bitcoin treasury companies into the heart of Wall Street and became the poster child for the Paper Bitcoin Summer of 2025, hasn’t been kind to most participants.

    Back then, every few days, there was another Nordic company issuing shares, buying bitcoin, launching a strategy, or engaging in convertible debt offerings. 


    Since the flywheel stopped working in the Autumn of 2025, there have been mostly crickets from the Nordic bitcoin treasury company players. And for good reason: Almost none of the companies have been able to maintain its one-time financialization attempt, and the ones that have exited have done so rather quietly. 

    The bitcoin treasury scene worldwide is comatose. In the Nordics, it’s straight-up dead.

  • Deep Monetary Economics in Oslo’s Satoshi Talks

    Deep Monetary Economics in Oslo’s Satoshi Talks

    Bitcoinpolitisk Institutt, or Bitcoin Policy Norway, organized a neat panel session at its events in Oslo’s Litteraturhuset last week. The Satoshi-samtale (“Satoshi talks”) is recorded and released as a podcast, worth listening for a deep dive into the monetary economics of Bitcoin.


    For years, BPI has put on semi-regular events in Oslo and this one doesn’t disappoint. Two guests from the banking system (Jan Ludvig Andreassen, the chief economist at Eika, and Arne Kloster, special adviser to Norges Bank) provided their views, with BPI’s Ole Emil Augland offering critical and, occasionally, quite critical, Bitcoin-oriented commentary.


    Across topics that included the intricacies of the consumer price index, how inflation works through the economy, and how it relates to money printing, the panelists meandered toward what the point and purpose of a monetary system is. At the end, Arne gave us the most succinct conflict of visions involved between bitcoin and fiat:

    “There’s a trade-off between stability and flexibility, and the monetary system we have today is very flexible but it comes with some risks, whereas a monetary system that’s closer to the old-fashioned gold standard is more stable but won’t perhaps contribute to economic growth in the same way.”


    Here’s the consumer price index graph that Arne presented, based on research and statistics from Norges Bank, and which provided backdrop to the overall conversation:

    Consumer Price Index (CPI), Norway, 1516-2003
    Norway, CPI 1516-2003, long historic time series. Source: Norges Bank.

    Briefly going through that history, Arne suggests that “inflation is, in a way, a phenomenon of war; it’s when lots of money is printed to finance soldiers’ pay, food, canons… war is expensive.”

    And what he brought to weigh on the subject was a very standard remark among the economics profession: What can be even worse than inflation is the price level change variability, “because that makes economic planning difficult.” Stable inflation is manageable since you know that the purchasing power of your money will fall by a particular, credible amount (i.e., the 2% creed), but when the change in money’s worth is unpredictable, money quickly loses its coordinating role and the monetary system turns into chaos.


    Jan Ludvig interjected that household wealth has transformed greatly in the last four decades in Norway, where real estate is concerned. It used to be mostly owned by institutions, but from around 1985 Norway experienced “a historic transfer of value from institutions to households, which also meant that changes in property prices meant so much more than they used to. But they’re not part of the money supply!” Which they probably should, Jan Ludvig suggested.  

    In a beautifully phrased remark by Ole, about the downsides of calculating a consumer price index, we learn that just because a computer improved in raw, objective power (e.g., RAM, memory, speed), statisticians make an error in assuming that the economic value of the item has increased in proportion.

    “They can’t say that ‘yes, the price should be 12,000 instead of 11,000 […] they’re trying to calculate objectively something that is subjective, that is value.”


    You can learn more about Bitcoin Policy Norway (“Bitcoinpolitisk Institutt Norge”) and their work via BPINorge.no.

    Norway's Parliament, Stortinget, overlaid with Bitcoinpolitisk Institutt Norge's frontpage and slogan: Vi formidler kunnskap om hvordan Bitcoin påvirker økonomi og samfunn
    A view of Norway’s parliament, Stortinget, as seen on Bitcoin Policy Norway’s front page.
  • That Nordic Bitcoin Adoption Survey from K33

    That Nordic Bitcoin Adoption Survey from K33

    The Norwegian-listed financial service company K33, focused on serving institutional clients in the Scandinavian crypto world, recently released its annual Nordic Crypto Adoption Survey. The company’s research arm, K33 Research, has released these types of survey-based inquiries into Nordic crypto usage and adoption for a few years now and, as always, they seem very hopeful and optimistic about the Nordic region.

    K33 itself mostly made news waves in the Bitcoin world last year with its somewhat unsuccessful participation in the Paper Bitcoin Summer craze. With some mid-100s BTC on its balance sheet (bitcointreasuries.net says 141, the company’s Q1 investor report, released yesterday, states 168 of BTC “exposure”), mostly acquired in July last year, the company stopped acquiring more coins as BTC/USD prices turned down and the mNAV arbitrage playbook stopped working.


    That is, its financialization effort didn’t pan out, and now the company is pivoting to other market lines, including collateralized loans.

    The report itself, authored by K33’s Head of Research Vetle Lunde, is fairly comprehensive, or at least as well done as can be expected for information-gathering efforts such as these. The 130-page report is filled with graphs and numbers covering crypto users in Finland, Sweden, Denmark, and Norway (plus a public presentation on Iceland, which it covered for the first time this year).

    Surveys, generally speaking, have well-known scientific and statistical problems, particularly in noisy environments where people aren’t exactly eager to answer them. The problem gets orders of magnitude worse in the Bitcoin (and broader crypto) space where privacy is cherished and there’s no upside to confessing and advertising one’s holdings.

    To be polite about it, what the survey finds is not at all representative of the population it is trying to describe.

    Having said that, here are some of the juicier headline results:

    • “2.5 million people in the Nordics own cryptocurrency, equating to 11.1% of the adult population.”
    • “A meaningful share of the Nordic population has owned crypto in the past but no longer does. 6.8% of Norwegians, 7.4% of Swedes, 7.3% of Danes, and 9.2% of Finns report having exited the market.”
    • “More young Nordics now own crypto than directly own stocks, with roughly 1.53 million crypto owners compared to 0.94 million equity owners in comparable age groups.”


    Astonishing Progress for Bitcoin in the Nordics

    At a glance, these results look incredible. Here’s BTChick, a Swedish bitcoin influencer, around the time of the report’s release:

    BTChick remarks on Twitter.


    There’s no doubt that there’s some sort of gradual acceptance accompanied by increased adoption and financial flows. Spotted around Stockholm and in public transport in recent weeks are ads by Bitwise, a leading exchange-traded products provider that listed several funds on Nasdaq Stockholm this year, offering crypto exposure “without hassle.” In a talk at the Swedish Bitcoin Symposium 2026, Marco Poblete, Bitwise’s Nordic regional director, presented on the company’s goal of turning “Bitcoin haters into Bitcoin lovers.”


    What the K33 Research reports have going for them is the consistent approach and long-term scope (relative to this industry, anyway). For whatever methodological flaws and faults it contains, comparison across years is pretty neat.; quite a lot of those figures go up and to the right.

    How much of that is capturing a real trajectory rather than statistical noise or a normalization of a new asset class is hard to tell.

    Besides, much murkiness hides behind these impressive headline claims. For example, to engineer the conclusion that “more” young Nordics own crypto than stocks, K33 Research had to explicitly exclude funds and pensions… only the most common and widely owned financial products in e.g., Sweden.

    “We compare self-reported crypto ownership with register-based holdings of listed shares. Figures exclude funds, pensions and some brokerage structures.”



    The 2.5-million figure, or 11% of the Nordic population, is literally unbelievable. Surveying the reported distribution of holdings makes clear how they arrived at that number: Most are trivial (“modest”) holders.

    Nordic Crypto Ownership, per K33 Research’s Nordic Adoption Survey 2026.

    Most of the survey respondents who indicate positive holdings (some 386 people…), report trivial holdings (below 6 million sats). This looks much more like a side-hustle gambling on shitcoins, or some premine allocation, an airdrop receipt, or an online influencer promotion payment than it does consistent, regular stacking by a devoted set of young people embracing a new asset class. And as remarked on above, on the right tail of the distribution, you’re bound to miss a lot of the larger holdings (the “missing-rich” undercoverage problem).

    The least objectionable portion of the survey’s many detailed results is the reported year in which a user first acquired their bitcoin (or “crypto”). The curve passes the sniff test and approximately looks like a bitcoin graph, meaning that it tracks wider information exposure and access.

    When Nordic crypto owners ostensibly acquired their first coins.


    The takeaway from an admirable effort and a hundred-page report is unfortunately that:

    There either isn’t much adoption in the Nordics, in which case this survey is a little pointless, or the survey is missing all the real Bitcoiners, whales, and those with large holdings… in which case the survey is a little pointless.


    In sum, it’s not clear how much new information we can glean from this. A better approach might be to query (and sum up) unique users and activity on the various Nordic exchanges and compare that with holders of e.g, ETPs.


    Some thoughts for next year.